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  • Home
  • About
  • Soundtrack
    • - Custard Pie
    • - The Rover
    • - In My Time of Dying
    • - Houses of the Holy
    • - Trampled Under Foot
    • - Kashmir
    • - In the Light
    • - Bron-Yr-Aur
    • - Down by the Seaside
    • - Ten Years Gone
    • - Night Flight
    • - The Wanton Song
    • - Boogie with Stu
    • - Black Country Woman
    • - Sick Again
    • - (whole album)

Tag Archives: recessions

6 Reasons Why This Is (Or Isn’t) The Worst Economy Since The Great Depression

April 29, 2020ffwbank capital ratios, bankruptcies, business cycle, central banking, COVID-19, debt-to-GDP ratios, fed funds rate, Federal Reserve, fiscal stimulus, FOMC, furloughs, GDP, Great Depression, helicopter money, home building, home equity extraction, inflation, mortgage debt, NBER, pandemic, recessions, spending power, unemployment, zombie companies

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U.S. Recession Watch: The Six-Cycle Forecast (Continued)

July 28, 2019ffwasset price cycles, bank credit, business cycle, business earnings, checklists, coincident indicators, component cycles, CPI, credit cycles, econometrics, economic forecasting, fiscal policy, foreign sector, GDP, home building cycle, household earnings, lagging indicators, leading indicators, monetary policy, recessions, S&P 500, six-cycle map, thin-air spending power, vicious loops, virtuous loops, yield curve

6-cycle forecast featured image

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U.S. Recession Watch: The Six-Cycle Forecast (Intro)

July 22, 2019ffwasset price cycles, business cycle, checklists, component cycles, credit cycles, econometrics, economic forecasting, financial economy, fiscal policy, foreign sector, home building cycle, monetary policy, real economy, recessions, six-cycle map, vicious loops, virtuous loops

6-cycle forecast featured image

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TSP Indicator Update: Criss-Cross, Flip-Flop and Remembering 1966

March 13, 2019ffwasset holding gains, bank credit, business cycle, circular flow, Federal Reserve, financial deflation, financial inflation, flow of funds, FOMC, Hyman Minsky, municipal bonds, recessions, reserve requirements, thin-air spending power, Treasury bonds, TSP, William McChesney Martin9 Comments

william mcchesney martin 3

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“Watch This Picture” Chartbook

November 28, 2018ffwbank credit, business cycles, business-cycle indicators, Case-Shiller, expansions, final domestic demand, financial deflation, financial economy, financial inflation, recessions, S&P, thin-air spending power, yield curve10 Comments

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You Might Like To Watch This Picture As Asset Prices Fall

November 28, 2018ffwbalance sheets, bank credit, business cycle, business-cycle indicators, economic theory, expansions, Federal Reserve, financial cycles, financial deflation, financial economy, financial inflation, flow of funds, holding gains, real economy, recessions, thin-air spending power, wealth effects20 Comments

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A Recession Indicator for Independent Thinkers, Part 2

June 5, 2018ffwbank credit, bank-created money, banking crises, bond default rates, business cycle, commercial banks, corporate earnings, credit crunch, delinquency rates, Federal Reserve, final domestic demand, financing sources, fiscal policy, GDP, Global Financial Crisis, high yield bonds, house prices, inflation, lending standards, Lyndon Johnson, Moody's, prior domestic saving, private debt, public debt, real GDP growth, recessions, yield curve18 Comments

lp record 2

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A Contrarian Take on the Great Yield Curve Scare

April 28, 2018ffwbusiness cycle, expansions, fed funds rate, Federal Reserve, interest rates, monetary policy, recessions, San Francisco Fed, term premium, yield curve38 Comments

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8 Things To Know About Last Week’s CBO Report

April 20, 2018ffwbudget outlook, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Congressional Budget Office, debt-to-GDP ratios, federal debt, recessions, unemployment rate33 Comments

debt

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An Inflation Indicator to Watch, Part 3

March 10, 2018ffwbank-created money, Ben Bernanke, business cycle, circular flow, deflation, disinflation, Federal Reserve, GDP, inflation, M2, M63, mainstream economics, Monetarism, monetary aggregates, recessions, trade balance19 Comments

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